Author Topic: Solar Flares and CME's.  (Read 26935 times)

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Offline above all, adapt

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #40 on: October 28, 2013, 06:03:57 PM »
8 CME's since about 8pm last night. like Ranger posted, 1 big X flare, 2 M (medium) flares, and the rest small ones.

The reason I keep myself updated on CMEs and post about them is so that we can PREPARE, meaning building a faraday cage if you don't already have one, or if you do, placing items inside it that may not be there ...things one uses on a regular basis. I threw my big maglight flashlight, kindle, any scopes that use batteries, little solar charger for the kindle.... in the cage they go...

cuz that's what preppers do.... :)
Give respect, get respect.

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Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #41 on: October 29, 2013, 09:53:27 AM »
NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of M-class flares and a 35% chance of X-flares today,Oct. 29th. Currently there are three sunspots that could erupt with X-class solar flares. One of these  AR1882, is pointed towards Earth which means any resulting CME would as Spaceweather.com puts it be "geoeffective".
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

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Offline Greenguy

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #42 on: October 29, 2013, 01:24:08 PM »
Is there a way to put a bar graph or something on the main page with an alert color or number?
It would be nice to have a quick notice of a big one.  I look at this topic but I don't understand a lot of the terms.
Something that alerts everyone to the current threat level would be cool!

Offline NObshere

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #43 on: October 29, 2013, 01:51:24 PM »
Good idea GG, we could do the same with pandemic alerts
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Offline above all, adapt

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #44 on: October 29, 2013, 02:02:55 PM »
Is there a way to put a bar graph or something on the main page with an alert color or number?
It would be nice to have a quick notice of a big one.  I look at this topic but I don't understand a lot of the terms.
Something that alerts everyone to the current threat level would be cool!

Great idea, can this be done?
Give respect, get respect.

Above all, adapt

Offline wild_E

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #45 on: October 29, 2013, 05:39:15 PM »
Is there a way to put a bar graph or something on the main page with an alert color or number?
It would be nice to have a quick notice of a big one.  I look at this topic but I don't understand a lot of the terms.
Something that alerts everyone to the current threat level would be cool!

Great idea, can this be done?
Ummmm mmmmmayybeeee
maybe..
might be able to do it on the Landing page the Forum hosting site page, found here


Can you folks find ... links to active sites and charts already?
If not, there is another way to do it, though it would involve the use of Pics that we create and then the mods going in daily to change the pics...???

Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #46 on: October 30, 2013, 06:48:54 AM »
Unless there is an X-class of at least 5 and directed at us, then I'm not all that worried about CME. M-class is good for a light show but that is about all. When I see a red sky at night, then I will start changing my shorts, until then, enjoy the light show. O0
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Offline NObshere

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #47 on: October 30, 2013, 06:53:53 AM »
Unless there is an X-class of at least 5 and directed at us, then I'm not all that worried about CME. M-class is good for a light show but that is about all. When I see a red sky at night, then I will start changing my shorts, until then, enjoy the light show. O0

Are you sure that you want to wait that long before you change your shorts?...LMAO (Why don't I have any friends....?)
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Offline Greenguy

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #48 on: October 30, 2013, 09:04:30 AM »
Is there a way to put a bar graph or something on the main page with an alert color or number?
It would be nice to have a quick notice of a big one.  I look at this topic but I don't understand a lot of the terms.
Something that alerts everyone to the current threat level would be cool!

Great idea, can this be done?
Ummmm mmmmmayybeeee
maybe..
might be able to do it on the Landing page the Forum hosting site page, found here


Can you folks find ... links to active sites and charts already?
If not, there is another way to do it, though it would involve the use of Pics that we create and then the mods going in daily to change the pics...???

It would be tedious for the moderators to have to daily manage a series of alert images.  I'm searching for something like an RSS feed that can be installed somewhere on the site.   The closest thing I can find right now is here:
http://solarflares.einnews.com/all_rss

What do you think?

Offline NObshere

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #49 on: October 30, 2013, 11:03:32 AM »
Give it atry
Never stop...

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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #50 on: November 05, 2013, 06:28:51 AM »
INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: Big sunspot AR1890 has an increasingly unstable 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong explosions. So far the sunspot is quiet, but this could be the calm before the storm. NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of M-class solar flares and a 10% chance of X-flares on Nov. 5th
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Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #51 on: November 05, 2013, 09:56:27 AM »
AR1890 is one of the largest  sunspots of the current solar cycle. Although it only emerged over the sun's eastern limb three days ago it was clearly visible in some of the shots of the solar eclipse on Sunday, November 3rd.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

http://www.preparingforthefuture.org/index.php
http://ontariopreparedness.com/

Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #52 on: November 05, 2013, 10:11:04 PM »
There was an X3-class solar flare just detected from the big sunspot AR1890. It was strong but brief and it was not directly pointed at Earth. We will however likely feel some effects.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

http://www.preparingforthefuture.org/index.php
http://ontariopreparedness.com/

Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #53 on: November 08, 2013, 06:41:58 AM »
More eruptions are in the offing. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of M-class solar flares and a 20% chance of X-flares on Nov. 8th.
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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #54 on: November 10, 2013, 05:09:30 AM »
This is the third X-flare from AR1890 since Nov. 5th, and all three have something in common: brevity. AR1890 tends to produce impulsive flares, peaking sharply in a matter of minutes or less. Often, brief flares do not produce coronal mass ejections (CMEs), but this one could be an exception. A movie of the flare shows a plume of material lifting off the sun shortly after the UV flash. That could be the beginnings of an Earth-directed CME.
We learn, We practice, We teach.

Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #55 on: November 10, 2013, 12:04:30 PM »
They said there was a 20% chance of a X class flare and they were 100% correct. I find it strange that this time spaceweahter.com states "That could be the beginnings of an Earth-directed CME." when they usually give the number of days to when the CME will impact the Earth even if it is just a glancing blow. this one, AR1890, was pointed just about at us.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

http://www.preparingforthefuture.org/index.php
http://ontariopreparedness.com/

Offline wild_E

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #56 on: November 10, 2013, 12:37:56 PM »
Husky Dog person,,,,


maybe it is a conspiracy????;)

Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #57 on: November 10, 2013, 01:15:07 PM »
Husky Dog person,,,,


maybe it is a conspiracy????;)

And just in time for Gridex II.  >:D :'(
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

http://www.preparingforthefuture.org/index.php
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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #58 on: November 12, 2013, 05:04:35 PM »
Just returning from a transit of the sun's farside, old sunspot AR1875 is back on the Earthside where it unleashed several strong flares in October. A second round of eruptions from this active region could be in the offing. Complex sunspots AR1890 and AR1897 also pose a threat for flares. NOAA forecasters estimate a 65% chance of M-class flares and a 35% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours.

A Winter storm, An  X-Class CME, Hey what else could you want. Oh Yeah may-be a Zombie apocalypse would be nice. Ride Horsemen Ride. >:D
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Offline NObshere

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #59 on: November 14, 2013, 09:11:09 AM »
I've got a grey horse...
Never stop...

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