Author Topic: Solar Flares and CME's.  (Read 26720 times)

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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2013, 04:51:11 PM »
Well now. September is gone and no KILL SHOT from the Sun, well so much for the forward viewing of the CIA. So the TEOTWAWKI, is on stand-by again, not that I really want to see it, or maybe I do. Well like they say, "Patients is a virtue not a commodity". Until then, We prepare for the Worst and hope for the Best, or at least most of us do.  ;D
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Offline above all, adapt

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2013, 11:54:41 AM »
ya, interesting....
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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #22 on: October 08, 2013, 08:01:10 PM »
Another email...just posting this for others' interest, a G2 is moderate, so no catastrophic harm should happen to us here on earth  :)

Space Weather Message Code: WARK06
Serial Number: 233
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 08 2258 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2013 Oct 08 2257 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Oct 09 0300 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
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Offline above all, adapt

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #23 on: October 08, 2013, 10:52:31 PM »
And yet others..

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 426
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 09 0216 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 09 0155 UTC

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.


Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 869
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 09 0239 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 09 0145 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 791 km/s

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event
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Offline wild_E

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #24 on: October 09, 2013, 11:22:52 AM »
soo.... did this happen, did it not hit earth yet, or was it a near miss?

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #25 on: October 09, 2013, 12:02:13 PM »
From reading the NOAA scales and classifications on google, they are not strong enough to damage the grid on earth, though they do affect satellites etc. Yes they all occurred and we experienced the affects @ 0155, 0145, and 0300 UTC today, respectively. So it was until 0755, 0845, and 0900 our time (alberta) 
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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #26 on: October 13, 2013, 12:57:08 PM »
2 more small CMEs

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 872
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 13 0804 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 13 0711 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 688 km/s

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.


Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 871
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 13 0151 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 13 0035 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 798 km/s

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
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Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #27 on: October 13, 2013, 02:18:19 PM »
There are a couple of sunspots, AR1861 and AR1865 that are facing Earth at the moment that have a good chance of erupting with M class flares. SpaceWeather.com is reporting a 40% chance of M class flares and a 15% chance of X class flares.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #28 on: October 13, 2013, 05:00:38 PM »
There are a couple of sunspots, AR1861 and AR1865 that are facing Earth at the moment that have a good chance of erupting with M class flares. SpaceWeather.com is reporting a 40% chance of M class flares and a 15% chance of X class flares.

Thank you for sharing that info on this threat.
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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #29 on: October 16, 2013, 01:33:46 PM »
another email.

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission‏

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4
Serial Number: 428
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 16 0953 UTC

ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 16 0930 UTC

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms


Type IV is Severe  (it ranges from Type I-V)
 
HF Radio: : HF radio communication blackout on most of the sunlit side of Earth for one to two hours. HF radio contact lost during this time.

Navigation: Outages of low-frequency navigation signals cause increased error in positioning for one to two hours. Minor disruptions of satellite navigation possible on the sunlit side of Earth.
 
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Offline wild_E

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #30 on: October 16, 2013, 01:36:29 PM »
Could the two airplane crashes in the last two days be caused directly or indirectly on these flares?

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #31 on: October 16, 2013, 01:37:31 PM »
Could the two airplane crashes in the last two days be caused directly or indirectly on these flares?

That would be terrible!
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Offline icrcc

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #32 on: October 17, 2013, 11:33:23 AM »
Courtesy of Spaceweather.com and photographer David Mayhew.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #33 on: October 17, 2013, 12:23:21 PM »
wow. the wing tip looks like a dragons head breathing green fire, sweet!

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #34 on: October 23, 2013, 07:21:56 PM »
There were 4 small CMEs yesterday. Here is the latest

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 877
Issue Time: 2013 Oct 23 0145 UTC

ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Oct 22 2129 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 752 km/s

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #35 on: October 23, 2013, 11:39:48 PM »
from Spaceweather.com "Earth-facing sunspot AR1877 erupted on Oct. 24th at 00:30 UT (Oct. 23rd at 5:30 pm PDT), producing an M9-class solar flare. A flash of extreme UV radiation from the flare ionized Earth's upper atmosphere and created a brief HF radio blackout on the sunlit side of the planet"

There is a 40% chance of severe geomagnetic storms at high latitudes and a 40% chance of active geomagnetic storms at mid-latitudes. One of these days in the future we may well get an unwelcome surprise.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #36 on: October 25, 2013, 06:37:13 AM »
SOLAR FLARE! Solar activity is high. On October 24th at 00:30 UT, Earth-facing sunspot AR1877 erupted, producing a powerful M9-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the blast:
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Offline M590a1

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #37 on: October 25, 2013, 10:52:59 AM »
Thanks for the updates!
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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #38 on: October 26, 2013, 03:37:25 AM »
X-FLARE UPDATE:  New sunspot AR1882 isn't very big, but it is potent. The active region has already unleashed two strong solar flares today: An X1 at 08:01 UT followed by an X2 at 15:07 UT. There is no reason to think this fusillade will end soon, so stay tuned for more flares.
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Offline Ranger2012

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Re: Solar Flares and CME's.
« Reply #39 on: October 28, 2013, 04:00:38 AM »
ANOTHER X-FLARE:  Earth-orbiting satellites detected an X1-class solar flare from sunspot AR1875 on Oct. 28th at 0203 UT. This is the 3rd X-flare since Oct. 25th, which means solar activity is still high. Stay tuned for more information about the latest eruption.
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