Author Topic: All eyes on Egypt  (Read 1187 times)

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Offline icrcc

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All eyes on Egypt
« on: July 03, 2013, 11:52:54 AM »
More massive political changes in Egypt. As this develops it will have profound consequences for the entire region.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-23157801
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

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Offline JustABear

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Re: All eyes on Egypt
« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2013, 12:14:46 PM »
I believe this will come down to another religious conflict. The Muslims VS the more secular population. Don't get me wrong... there are Muslims on both sides... just that one side is radicalized and the other more secular and willing to accept and accommodate a homogenous society and government. IF the new rebels win it may devolve into another civil war with radical Muslims on one side and secular and the Army on the other. If this comes to pass it will bring in radicals from all over the region as the civil war in Syria has done. That will make for 2 warring nations on Israel's borders. From Israel's standpoint that will be a very destabilizing event. It is much easier to deal with an known and authoritative government than multiple entities who can.. and probably will go off in many directions at random times. There will be no leadership to approach to address any incursions or assaults and if Israel reacts with military force the defacto leaders will call for military action from the affected states and their allies to protect their sovereign territory. It will become one hell of a mess. The second issue will be the protection of the Suez Canal. IF Egypt becomes Muslim Radicalized they will then control this major shipping route. It will also become a target for attacks. The pot is being stirred.

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Offline Pragmatist

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Re: All eyes on Egypt
« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2013, 04:09:27 PM »
It seems that you are correct JAB. After todays events with deaths and many injuries involved it does not look like a smooth transition of power will be possible. We all hope that the situation does spiral downward out of control.

Offline icrcc

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Re: All eyes on Egypt
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2013, 10:55:24 AM »
With two large opposing demonstrations called for today the chance of violence is extreme. The anti Morsi demonstration called by the army to show solidarity for the ousting of the Islamist government is more for foreign observers than their own population. The majority are glad to see the islamists go. Too bad some foreign governments would just come out and stand with the people rather than trying to be too politically correct.
It may never happen. Best to be prepared just in case.

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